How does racing post rating work

No matter how good the runner, the handicap will eventually beat him. And so it is with weight in horse-racing. Weight is all-important. The added weight levels the playing field by assigning horses with better records to carry more weight. In theory, handicaps give all the horses an equal chance of winning.

The ratings are expressed in pounds lb so a horse rated is regarded as 10lb better than one rated Winning TAB numbers: TAB number 1 is the most dominant number in trifectas, appearing in 40 per cent of all trifectas.

TAB number two is next with 35 per cent, number three with 33 per cent, number four with 31 per cent. Unexcitingly, but unequivocally, the most profitable type of bet for the punter or, conversely, the least profitable type of bet for the bookmaker, as far as horse racing is concerned is a single win bet, on just one horse in a race. The Grand National is the stand-out Grade 3 race that the average horse racing fan will be aware of.

Indeed, some of the most thrilling races of the year come in Grade 3 events. A nursery race is a handicap for two-year-old racehorses. They are also known as a juvenile race. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Which NHL team has the oldest average age? Which NHL team is no longer in existence?

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How many NBA teams have came back from 3 0? Has a team ever came back from in the World Series? The higher the rating, the better the horse. Each rating point equates to one pound of weight.

So a horse rated at should carry 7 pounds more than a horse with an OR of There is often quite a disparity between the two sets of ratings, and some betting experts believe you should consider selections that have an RPR of 10 points higher than their OR.

For example, you might see a horse with an OR of 73, but it fails to run to expectations. This writer certainly does not consider himself anywhere near the equal of the Racing Post team. I will probably write a separate post about RPR, but in this piece, it is all about the OR of horses. As good as the handicappers at the BHA are, the OR they assign to each horse is an estimate which means the horse could be underrated or overrated.

Sure enough, the horse lacks raw pace and fares badly. It receives a low OR of 53 by the end of the season. As a 3-year old, the trainer enters the horse in middle distance races under its low OR. Clear proof, if any was needed, that the top rated horse in a race is not always worth backing. In fact, the highest rated horse wins little more than one-fifth of the time hence the awful ROI loss figures. Indeed, despite having a much lower win rate, backing the lowest rated horse in the rate would give you more or less the same ROI losses.

Things get a little better when you focus on top rated horses that are also clear favourites. If you focus on National Hunt favourites that won their last race, your loss comes down to 0. Stick to Class 4, 5 and 6 races, and you get a profit of 4.